Men’s March Madness 2025: Full NCAA Tournament Bracket Odds and Projections
The excitement for the 2025 NCAA Tournament is at its peak as The Athletic releases the latest bracket projections for March Madness. Based on 200,000 simulations, this analysis determines each team’s chances of progressing through the tournament and ultimately cutting down the nets in San Antonio on April 7.
How the Projections Work
Experts have evaluated each team’s offensive and defensive performance using advanced box score metrics. These projections estimate how many points a team is likely to score and allow against an average opponent on a neutral court. Factors like opponent strength, game location, and player health have also been considered to determine the probability of winning each game.
Key Findings
The simulations provide insights into:
✅ How far each team is expected to advance
✅ The probability of reaching different tournament rounds
✅ Each team’s chances of winning the national championship
For example, if a team has a 10% chance of reaching the Final Four, it means they achieved that milestone in 10% of the simulations.
Ongoing Updates
These projections will be updated after every tournament game. Stay tuned for the latest analysis and insights as March Madness unfolds!
